The DSEX entered Q4 2026 in a medium-term correction while its longer-term uptrend remains intact. The index closed at 5,482.36 on 4 October, below its 20-day, 50-day and 100-day moving averages but still above the 200-day SMA. The report identifies 5,376–5,393 as the decisive support zone for the quarter. The base-case scenario, assigned approximately 50% probability, anticipates a range-bound market with a downward bias, broadly between 5,376 and 5,700, with a potential year-end range of 5,400–5,600. A sustained breakdown below 5,376 would increase downside risk toward 5,290–5,340 and potentially 5,110–5,200, while a recovery above 5,632 and subsequently 5,694 with stronger turnover would improve the technical outlook
DHAKA STOCK EXCHANGE | TECHNICAL OUTLOOK
DSEX Technical Analysis and Projection
October to December 2026
Prepared 4 October 2026. Data: daily DSEX history to 1 October 2026 plus the 4 October close of 5,482.36.
Bottom line: the DSEX is in a medium-term correction inside a still-intact long-term uptrend. For October to December 2026 the expectation is a range-bound quarter with a downward bias, and 5,376–5,393 is the level that decides it.
Last close (4 Oct) | Daily RSI (14) | Daily MACD / signal | 14-day ATR |
|---|---|---|---|
5,482.36 (−0.89%) | 39.4 | −36.0 / −42.8 | 58 points (about 1.05%) |
1. Trend and moving averages
The index closed below its 20-day, 50-day and 100-day simple moving averages…
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