At a glance

Bangladesh’s stock market gained momentum on 15 October 2026, with the DSEX rising 0.42% to close at 5,452.06 points, marking its third consecutive session of gains. Dhaka Stock Exchange turnover increased 20.07% to Tk 4.997 billion, while market breadth strengthened significantly, with 247 advancing issues against 95 decliners. The Chittagong Stock Exchange also showed signs of recovery, with the provisional CSCX rising 0.50%. Empire Capital Research examines the improving market sentiment, sector rotation, trading liquidity, technical indicators and key support and resistance levels to assess whether the rebound can develop into a more sustainable recovery.

1. Executive Summary

The DSEX rose for a third consecutive session on Thursday, 15 October 2026, adding +22.69 points (+0.42%) to 5,452.06, with DS30 (+0.19%) and DSES (+0.51%) also higher. The close cleared 5,441.91 — the recovery trigger carried in the last two reports ; the intraday low (5,440.15) dipped just below that level before buyers lifted the close to within 7.4 points of the high (5,459.48). Participation broadened clearly: turnover rose +20.07% to Tk 4,996.90 mn, transactions +9.30%, and breadth was the strongest of the week at 247 advances, 95 declines and 56 unchanged (A/D 2.60x).

On the CSE, the supplied terminal screenshot shows CSCX (provisional) up +0.50% at 8,956.54, CSE30 +0.36% and CSI +0.41%. CSE turnover (trade file) more than tripled to Tk 205.42 mn across 1,065 trades, helped by a Tk 33.79 mn CITYGENINS block. Both exchanges rose together for the first time this week.

SCENARIO ALERT | DSE recovery test TRIGGERED: DSEX closed at 5,452.06, +0.19% above 5,441.91. Three of the four confirmation conditions set on 14 Oct were met (A/D > 1.00x, DS30 positive, CSCX above 8,908.96); the turnover condition (> Tk 5,151 mn, the 5-day average to 13 Oct) narrowly failed at Tk 4,996.90 mn (-2.99%), although turnover was +4.67% above the trailing 5-day average to 14 Oct. The next reference is the 12 Oct high of 5,463.95, which the session high (5,459.48) did not reach.

Table 1: DSE headline statistics

Indicator

14 Oct 2026

15 Oct 2026

Change

% Change

DSEX (points)

5,429.37

5,452.06

+22.69

+0.42%

DS30 (points)

2,092.63

2,096.51

+3.88

+0.19%

DSES (points)

1,072.44

1,077.96

+5.52

+0.51%

Turnover (Tk mn)

4,161.52

4,996.90

+835.38

+20.07%

Volume (shares)

153,950,630

162,107,049

+8,156,419

+5.30%

Transactions

148,617

162,437

+13,820

+9.30%

Securities traded*

385

385

+0

+0.00%

Advances / Declines / Unchanged

206 / 141 / 53

247 / 95 / 56

+41 / -46 / +3

A/D 1.46x → 2.60x

Table 2: CSE headline statistics

Indicator

14 Oct 2026 (official)

15 Oct 2026

Change

% Change

CSCX (points)

8,912.25

8,956.54*

+44.29

+0.50%

CASPI (points)

14,515.60

14576.59

+60.99

+0.42%

CSE30 (points)

13,480.51

13,529.13

+48.62

+0.36%

CSE50 (points)

1,066.99

1,069.97*

+2.98

+0.28%

CSI (points)

788.86

792.07*

+3.21

+0.41%

Turnover (Tk mn)

65.30

205.42

+140.12

+214.59%

Volume (shares)

1,666,309

3,366,633

+1,700,324

+102.04%

Transactions

1,016

1,065

+49

+4.82%

Securities traded

156

162

+6

+3.85%

Advances / Declines / Unchanged

65 / 71 / 20

109 / 33 / 20

+44 / -38 / 0

+67.69% / −53.52% / 0.00%

Cross-market conclusion

INTERPRETATION: For the first time this week, both exchanges moved in the same direction. The DSE gain was broad and better supported: every DSE index rose, A/D reached 2.60x, non-block turnover increased +19.63% to Tk 4,633.78 mn, and mutual funds (23 up, 0 down of 30) and equities ex-funds (214/87) both advanced. Turnover concentrated further in Textile, Insurance and Engineering (top-three share 53.6% vs 51.0%), and SAIHAMTEX alone traded Tk 434.35 mn. On the CSE, the rebound and turnover jump are encouraging but rest on provisional index data and a large share of block trades (20.83%).

2. DSE Market Activity Snapshot

Table 3: DSE market activity snapshot

Metric

14 Oct 2026

15 Oct 2026

% Change

Securities traded

385

385

+0.00%

Transactions

148,617

162,437

+9.30%

Volume (shares)

153,950,630

162,107,049

+5.30%

Turnover (Tk mn)

4,161.52

4,996.90

+20.07%

Turnover excl. block (Tk mn)

3,873.39

4,633.78

+19.63%

Average turnover per transaction (Tk)

28,002

30,762

+9.86%

Average shares per transaction

1,035.9

998.0

-3.66%

Average turnover per security (Tk mn)

10.81

12.98

+20.07%

Average transactions per security

386.0

421.9

+9.30%

Average traded value per share (Tk)

27.03

30.82

+14.03%

CALCULATION: Turnover rose faster than volume (+20.07% vs +5.30%), lifting average value per share to Tk 30.82. This reflects heavier trading in higher-priced names (SAIHAMTEX, SQURPHARMA, BSRMSTEEL) rather than a shift to penny stocks. Non-block turnover was the highest of the 12–15 Oct sessions.

3. CSE Market Activity Snapshot

Table 4: CSE market activity snapshot

Metric

14 Oct 2026

15 Oct 2026

% Change

Securities traded

156

162

+3.85%

Transactions

1,016

1,065

+4.82%

Volume (shares)

1,666,309

3,366,633

+102.04%

Turnover (Tk mn)

65.30

205.42

+214.59%

Turnover excl. block (Tk mn)

51.96

162.63

+212.99%

Average turnover per transaction (Tk)

64,…

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